World
UK general election 2024 updates: Exit poll moments away as last-minute votes cast
Massive turnouts are being reported at polling stations around the country as millions of people vote in a general election that could deliver a major shake-up of British politics and end 14 years of Conservative government.
With polling stations set to close at 10pm, many have reported long queues amid good weather, and now it’s believed turnout could be one of the highest in recent election history.
The exit poll at 10pm will give the first indication of the night ahead for Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer.
The prime minister cast his ballot alongside his wife Akshata Murty in his North Yorkshire constituency and Keir Starmer cast his ballot accompanied by his wife, Victoria, in London.
A major poll for The Independent yesterday suggested Mr Sunak would lead the Conservatives to the worst defeat in history with only 82 seats.
If the forecast is accurate, chancellor Jeremy Hunt and defence secretary Grant Shapps are among the veteran Conservatives set to be ousted.
Sir Keir could enter the doors of No 10 triumphant, with an unprecedented 272-seat majority, polls suggest.
Theresa May and Sir Graham Brady given peerages in honours list
Former prime minister Theresa May and former chairman of the Conservative backbench 1922 committee Sir Graham Brady have been given peerages in the dissolution honours list.
Downing Street released the surprise honours list shortly before polling stations close at 10pm.
Holly Evans4 July 2024 21:29
Parties splurge over £1m on polling day online political adverts
The political parties are spending more than £1m on online advertising in just 24 hours, analysis suggests.
An organisation that tracks digital political advertising found that by 6pm today, with four hours of voting remaining, the parties’ main pages had spent £481,000 between them on Meta (Facebook) alone, with an estimated further £250,000 on Google/YouTube.
Transparency campaign group Who Targets Me found that while the Conservatives had significantly increased their Meta spending before polls opened, they still trailed Labour, spending an estimated £159,000 against Labour’s £257,000.
Reform UK has spent around £30,000 and the Lib Dems almost as much at £26,000, the figures suggested.
Jane Dalton4 July 2024 21:29
Polling predicts how Britain’s diverse voter base could swing at the general election
New polling has forecast how the UK’s different ethnic minority groups will likely be voting on Thursday, with the war in Gaza a major concern for 1 in 5 of the nation’s Asian voters.
Exclusive polling for The Independent by More In Common shows that Black voters are still far more likely to vote Labour than any other party and more than any other ethnicity.
Despite the Labour’s recent race rows, some 64 per cent of Black voters are set to rally behind Sir Keir Starmer’s party, compared with 37 per cent of the country’s white population.
Read the full article here:
Holly Evans4 July 2024 21:18
Chancellor’s battle to hang on to his seat
Archie Mitchell met voters in the Godalming and Ash constituency:
Jane Dalton4 July 2024 21:15
Do men and women vote differently in general elections?
Do men and women vote differently in general elections?
Women and men have often had different ideas when it comes to voting in elections. In the 2019 general election, the British Election study found one of the biggest gender gaps in party support in modern British history, with more men voting Conservative and more women voting Labour. But what about now? The Independent’s data correspondent Alicja Hagopian dives into the numbers. A recent YouGov polling shows that the gender gap among Labour and Tory voters in this election is shrinking — but the real divide comes for Reform voters. The latest polls, released just yesterday (3 July), showed that 40 per cent of women were planning to vote Labour, compared to 38 per cent of men. It’s the same similarity for Conservative voters, with 23 per cent support among women, and 21 per cent men.
Holly Evans4 July 2024 21:01
What happens to the MPs who lose their seats at the elections?
For some, the defeat will be a surprise, for others they will have seen the writing on the wall during the campaign.
There will be several removal vans on the parliamentary estate in the coming days and weeks as the former MPs clear out their offices and make way for the new intake.
It is expected some new MPs will start arriving in Parliament just hours after the results are announced as they begin a new chapter in their lives.
They will eventually be assigned office space in Parliament by their party whips once the areas have been cleared out.
The taxpayer-funded Independent Parliamentary Standards Authority (Ipsa) – which governs MPs’ expenses – supports those candidates who have lost their seat.
Winding-down payments are designed to help departing MPs close their office and manage the departure of staff.
Joe Middleton 4 July 2024 20:56
Everything to watch out for once the polls close
John Rentoul’s guide to what to watch for, “Portillo moments” — and when best to take a power nap:
Jane Dalton4 July 2024 20:55
Anticipation builds for exit poll as final votes cast
Voters are awaiting the exit poll which will indicate who has won the General Election as the final ballots are cast following weeks of campaigning by party leaders.
Polling stations across the UK opened at 7am, giving millions of voters the chance to decide if the Tory incumbent Rishi Sunak remains in the top job or the Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer enters Downing Street.
Opinion polls suggest Labour is on course to secure a big majority in the House of Commons and form a new government.
The first indication of whether the pollsters were correct will come moments after the ballot closes at 10pm, when the exit poll is broadcast by the BBC, Sky and ITV.
Holly Evans4 July 2024 20:54
When will we know who’s won? An hour-by-hour guide
But the campaign trail was shaken by the last-minute addition of Nigel Farage as the new leader of Reform UK, chasing the PM’s tail in shock polls which saw the party only marginally behind the Conservatives in the vote share.
Read the full story here:
Holly Evans4 July 2024 20:49
Watch live from 10 Downing Street as Britons vote in general election
Jane Dalton4 July 2024 20:30